Thursday, November 3, 2016

The Trump Surge Continues to Grow

Hello again sports fans. IWS Radio Chief Analytics Correspondent Nick Dorris back with another look at the state of the 2016 presidential race. Wow! What a difference a few days make, huh? Donald Trump is SURGING into a strong lead both in the popular vote AND in the Electoral College vote. Looks like Trump’s closing argument is really starting to work with the American people. It’s starting to look like voters are tuning Hillary Clinton out.

Also, while there has been a lot of talk about Hillary’s vaunted GOTV ground game, it looks like it’s the Trump supporters who are getting out there and voting. While Clinton might have a slight edge in early vote in battleground states like Florida, North Carolina and Louisiana, the Trump plan of overwhelming his opponent with huge crowds are rallies looks to be working out pretty good for him.

As you can see from the map below, Trump is now sitting on 288 electoral votes to Hillary’s 220. Only New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Nevada are tossups at this point. Since you only need 270 electoral votes to be elected president, Trump is just working on running up the score and getting that big mandate that all presidents look for when they come into office.

In the popular vote I have Donald Trump at 48% to Hillary Clinton’s 44% with Jill Stein, Gary Johnson and Evan McMullen totaling 16%. As Trump continues to climb in the popular vote he will consolidate the vote in the tossup states and possibly even flip a couple of the blue states like Connecticut and Oregon. Barring some kind of blockbuster news, I suspect that will happen over the next couple of days.

Okay then, I’ll be back again this weekend with another update and of course, I will be discussing my analysis of the race on IWS Radio this Sunday which will be on in PRIME TIME starting at 8 pm ET! Until then, remember: The Numbers Never Lie!  

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